Golf · resolved market

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f22baeebc2a21e2ad661f1ca206f4b3760ea43d5b4dc71b53e0a91fb077b84

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $179,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf9ac…1eebbacked Yes	1c	18,996$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.7	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf5…7898backed Yes	3c	15,863$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+273.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…31f1backed Yes	2c	15,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes	0c	11,767$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+3.6wins	+0.21per pick	26cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes	1c	8,208$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.94	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5cc3…0e20backed Yes	2c	6,458$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes	4c	5,999$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes	1c	4,058$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,775$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	2c	3,746$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.22	116	8.6%10 W · 106 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+133.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	3c	3,072$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc158…cdffbacked Yes	3c	2,746$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8226…2f4ebacked Yes	4c	2,326$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes	1c	2,264$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	3cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5e2…6078backed Yes	4c	1,989$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	3c	1,743$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.04	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-23.7wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed Yes	2c	1,444$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes	1c	1,368$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea8…6d62backed Yes	1c	1,250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-90.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes	3c	1,082$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.45	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	4cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes	3c	1,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes	3c	944.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac03…3840backed Yes	3c	848.95$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes	3c	800$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.57	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes	4c	765$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb259…8a59backed Yes	2c	700$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x515b…2d91backed Yes	4c	640.39$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes	4c	584.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes	2c	544.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd21b…6903backed Yes	4c	475$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfafd…8837backed Yes	4c	465.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	15cpaid	+219.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0a…185ebacked Yes	4c	456.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b08…dd9bbacked Yes	4c	339.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…4602backed Yes	5c	320.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-92.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event