TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$787,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$713,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes7c111,250$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3005324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb5…c494backed Yes6c37,463$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No80c36,686$29,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,407.172218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked No70c30,000$20,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,119.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes24c24,473$5,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,979.0711712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes15c23,017$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.84137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes35c20,140$7,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,112.42147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes8c19,858$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.624112.2%5 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d3…bd78backed Yes0c19,856$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No69c18,513$12,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,680.664951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes0c17,724$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.721747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick26cpaid-12.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes24c14,194$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.72516%4 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes9c13,894$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.06329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1653…0348backed Yes9c12,804$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes18c11,975$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.152729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc517…89f5backed Yes8c11,437$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Yes22c10,709$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes0c10,209$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7190%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No68c8,541$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.076445.3%29 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes24c8,183$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes6c8,114$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7148…d348backed Yes5c7,999$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No79c7,670$6,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.156241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes27c7,617$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd793…1c4abacked Yes6c7,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes37c6,803$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500230%0 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8f…c553backed Yes28c6,504$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.42119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-73.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes6c5,689$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes18c5,687$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0721…adf8backed Yes17c5,552$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be5…cf29backed Yes18c5,000$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes5c4,364$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85dd…62d4backed Yes6c4,238$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Yes18c4,064$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c3,959$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.2314043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes14c3,888$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.321127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes5c3,836$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No72c3,641$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.355133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes15c3,397$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-78.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d5…b90ebacked Yes6c3,338$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c74…3c0dbacked Yes23c3,296$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes37c3,031$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bf5…7898backed Yes17c2,958$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+273.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691f…c4a1backed Yes6c2,900$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9414…53c9backed Yes19c2,773$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.0550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes5c2,653$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13711412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc119…0162backed Yes23c2,420$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No69c2,352$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.29580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes1c2,350$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.15250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No78c2,301$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes23c2,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes7c2,100$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.31827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No75c2,097$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.511844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes19c2,000$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ee…89a4backed Yes15c1,979$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes5c1,950$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.571010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2736…4f36backed Yes11c1,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ec…e521backed No80c1,841$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes24c1,834$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.4840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Yes19c1,816$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…accfbacked No80c1,779$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Yes30c1,689$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes6c1,638$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0139…ecb1backed No79c1,597$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ad…31e6backed Yes30c1,517$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.02812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No78c1,514$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No73c1,513$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4054047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+296.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes14c1,453$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.441910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-62.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Yes5c1,438$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.12200%0 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes21c1,274$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes19c1,266$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-65.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd314…12d9backed Yes21c1,245$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1d…1e60backed Yes16c1,217$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d5…7b83backed Yes15c1,208$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes23c1,196$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.96244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-90.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes15c1,124$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes8c1,033$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.39306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x428b…5b25backed Yes15c1,018$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes15c1,018$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked No66c1,016$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.1875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Yes16c1,001$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…08b8backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-49.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes14c999.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4721backed Yes26c980.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+78.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c960.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.883030%9 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x978b…34f6backed Yes8c933.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.941315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-78.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No74c894.17$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.251580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x116c…5c91backed Yes15c860.21$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes5c858.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.065848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x504e…8da8backed Yes2c831.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes22c821.94$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.612910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36c4…a129backed Yes15c777.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea8…6d62backed Yes6c766.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-90.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes11c755.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.812623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Yes7c744.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid+17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes22c731.8$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0d…ea2cbacked Yes5c727.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.66425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5030…d298backed Yes17c705.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.