TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,731 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes1c41,613$544 inLost-$544.452516%4 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc4…5fa6backed Yes1c10,000$90 inLost-$90263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+174.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes1c8,000$96 inLost-$9670%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4373…459dbacked Yes1c5,562$49 inLost-$48.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d6…679abacked Yes1c5,556$50 inLost-$50293.4%1 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes1c2,800$28 inLost-$28258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Yes1c2,778$25 inLost-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+964%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e54…134fbacked Yes1c2,495$31 inLost-$30.7850%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes1c2,160$16 inLost-$1640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes2c2,020$50 inLost-$50382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed7…8baebacked Yes2c1,649$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes1c1,429$20 inLost-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55d…6984backed Yes1c1,420$20 inLost-$19.862913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635c…9cdfbacked Yes1c1,000$13 inLost-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81c1…c4a7backed Yes2c972.21$20 inLost-$19.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes1c861.43$12 inLost-$12.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes2c799.67$13 inLost-$13.44362.8%1 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-92.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed Yes2c700$12 inLost-$11.891936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Yes2c627.4$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.