TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes13c48,502$6,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,192.595324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes1c36,286$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.014112.2%5 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c19,192$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.2311712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes15c11,914$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.01147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick26cpaid-12.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bf5…7898backed Yes4c7,961$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+273.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1332…2b23backed Yes3c7,528$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.87911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+92.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes19c5,048$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.442227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1653…0348backed Yes17c4,260$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes3c3,704$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-90.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes3c3,264$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.74382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Yes18c2,411$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.91258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes3c2,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56456.7%3 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-87.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes22c1,942$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes3c1,852$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50290%0 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes13c1,825$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.112025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes3c1,655$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc97d…732bbacked Yes3c1,500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.831323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+153.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No79c1,373$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.545133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes3c1,326$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4823319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes9c1,219$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes2c1,208$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9911412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Yes8c997.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes12c988.29$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.464613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9456…4f9fbacked Yes3c939.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x428b…5b25backed Yes3c925.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…f584backed Yes6c828.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes4c770$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes3c705.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.532910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e54…134fbacked Yes3c704.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Yes8c615.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52200%0 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes17c593.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005315.1%8 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+219.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0d…ea2cbacked Yes7c573.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c6…9508backed Yes5c524.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0180%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c2…f1d3backed Yes3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+358.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92ad…0214backed Yes4c491.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfafd…8837backed Yes3c489.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+219.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes17c443.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc9…c555backed Yes8c440$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333010%3 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9411…291bbacked Yes3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2be…df79backed Yes3c370.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+597.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c1…8cffbacked Yes5c331$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.062128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf81c…0f81backed Yes23c288.74$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes12c274.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.911910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-62.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62bc…97acbacked Yes19c254.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+158.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x504e…8da8backed Yes7c211.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c4…a129backed Yes16c209.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.051216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd314…12d9backed Yes20c205.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…91aabacked Yes23c202.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe0…9e6cbacked Yes16c198.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-64.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…3400backed Yes13c195.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes13c190.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.225540%22 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b08…dd9bbacked Yes14c140.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-75.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5eb…c512backed Yes21c120.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.73166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-91.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb67…5ea3backed Yes17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bb…c38bbacked Yes23c113.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…4ae7backed Yes21c108.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed2…e4b7backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ff…78e3backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd515…14febacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6274…7226backed Yes17c92.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+102.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48f…2132backed Yes25c86.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2029…8ee0backed Yes15c78.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3a…e29abacked Yes21c70.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6b…fa9ebacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80de…2e87backed Yes17c59.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked No78c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No80c28.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.921580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.