Golf · resolved market

Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69b8e4b1d59ef568cb2dcc59455a2b044810626a2def273dad985ea12f4037bb

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,313 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes	3c	24,331$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.63	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes	2c	14,342$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Yes	2c	12,391$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.43	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+296.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	6c	6,287$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.8	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes	2c	4,466$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes	9c	3,087$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.84	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Yes	7c	2,888$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.61	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	2,275$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	5c	1,868$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.74	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-23.7wins	-0.20per pick	32cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	6c	1,664$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0d3…e6f7backed Yes	6c	1,590$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-72%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9118…b410backed Yes	7c	1,515$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ae…66f6backed Yes	2c	1,373$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc9…c555backed Yes	14c	1,320$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f4…874abacked Yes	2c	1,316$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	2c	1,301$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…c448backed Yes	2c	1,190$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes	2c	1,153$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	45	6.7%3 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes	7c	1,136$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e26…6bacbacked Yes	2c	1,062$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e54…134fbacked Yes	2c	1,031$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes	6c	1,000$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	6c	1,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	70	31.4%22 W · 48 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd58…5f51backed Yes	3c	934.77$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes	7c	895.52$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+219.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8f…c553backed Yes	6c	862.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	524.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.61	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb258…0d2bbacked Yes	6c	503.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes	12c	499.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes	2c	479.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	3c	460$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	6c	453.51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5ce6…cc19backed Yes	7c	441.36$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…b6debacked Yes	6c	428.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.25per pick	18cpaid	+204.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes	14c	426.15$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes	8c	367.72$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Yes	10c	327.61$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes	5c	268.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes	6c	230.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	75	29.3%22 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Yes	7c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e65…ff48backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9a…1609backed Yes	14c	105.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event