TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e65…ff48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 58 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$41.91
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$53.36
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$28.93
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$56.67
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
Will Christopher Gotterup win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38.91
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Jason Day win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+80.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+96.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)backed CA Banfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+163.2%+$31
CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$40.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$62.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.