TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes1c58,826$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.576471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No45c5,300$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.74348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No68c3,462$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.753043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c2,271$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.1447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c1,885$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.096435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes32c1,609$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.8611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes43c1,565$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2113049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e65…ff48backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+80.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Yes72c1,105$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No52c1,017$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes32c1,015$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes68c985.65$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes32c977.5$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.83641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No78c947.9$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No61c877.13$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+70.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No60c843.33$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6410633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No67c649.93$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4811858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No63c649.04$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.395853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No60c640.61$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.373354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No62c623.26$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes36c555.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c339.55$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0543748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535e…3cb6backed Yes33c328.21$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes65c316.25$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes62c313.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No67c299.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes33c283.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.634452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No37c269.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed No36c263.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.63540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked No68c262.32$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed No67c246.21$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c246$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2723551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c240$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6215140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No41c209.75$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes40c206.69$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.342759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No62c190$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4414951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes33c176.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.214854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c175$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8511050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No54c169$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.391060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes13c165.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed Yes8c162.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c157.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7210757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No68c155$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.63745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No30c153.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.472454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Yes68c147.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Yes67c146$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick64cpaid-71.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c134.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.651533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c105.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6211057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c100.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No27c97.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes32c89.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes35c84.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Yes35c84.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x580a…3154backed Yes33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes74c40.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yes65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes34c35.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed No45c35.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes63c35.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.066434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes33c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed No70c32.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.862166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes33c32.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No65c32$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f97…a6dbbacked Yes70c29.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes54c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No37c27.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Yes68c26.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes56c26.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed No69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.442878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed No49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+174.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No68c15.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.072871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.