TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes33c21,094$7,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,058.381040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c13,565$10,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.6447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No61c5,966$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.544348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes35c5,588$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes43c3,292$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4102025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No59c2,444$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.1511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes44c2,254$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes42c2,074$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c1,590$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.584450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No57c1,184$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.112055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c1,135$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.93737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No73c984.32$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c974.88$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.8443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c790.93$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes42c642.86$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes43c579.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.391752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c535.99$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1415140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes30c524.43$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.891668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+70.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c507.86$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Yes41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes40c409.63$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.456435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c390.59$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1411057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c382.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2410633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes41c363.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88da…15c6backed No68c351.18$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No58c344.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.011241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No65c307.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.043836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes10c301$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes41c300.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes33c287.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe997…88aabacked Yes41c261.27$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf888…1c98backed Yes33c253$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.491030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0875…9577backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c218$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5632453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes42c197.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.05850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No62c194$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c192.27$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.874854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed Yes8c174.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No58c172.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes42c163$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.463745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No67c161.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.721163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c151.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5214955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes35c141.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No51c140.29$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.741656.3%9 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.42per pick14cpaid+367.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1378…681bbacked Yes43c134.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes26c120.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes44c113.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes42c113.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.28333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No65c111$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.853641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Yes43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No69c102.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.835853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed No58c99.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x70da…676fbacked Yes43c99.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No67c98.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5451…1acbbacked Yes33c92.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes42c92.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.491330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes33c89.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No65c87.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.762454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No66c74.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked No72c69.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No72c69.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes33c65.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.049714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes42c59.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes44c56.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c56.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2610757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes40c55.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed No57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No65c50.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9811050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed No61c49.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes40c47.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.955832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes32c45.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No64c44.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.191080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x352a…ff24backed No67c44.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes34c43.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.84626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes44c31.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked No59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked No58c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes42c23.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No61c22.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.891442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed No68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.591266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.