TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,787 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes27c15,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,950580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+131.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c12,631$9,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,278.394348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3001050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes24c8,455$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,455.321040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c7,470$5,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.3947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes24c2,083$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c2,004$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.859336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes19c1,982$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes27c1,804$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+192.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c1,369$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3711055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cbc…faebbacked Yes26c1,362$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No75c1,299$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.74452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c1,290$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c1,146$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.784450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.633234.4%11 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c1,032$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75413551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c928.9$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No72c780$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4530954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes26c549.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No72c435.3$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.75633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2967162%44 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c365.33$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6324732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes28c356.65$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.899550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…d511backed No74c345.69$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes26c269.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c266.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes33c255.7$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5215140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes27c249.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No54c243.94$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.163354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes31c242.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4910757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes24c209.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.131668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+70.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.354443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked No59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c164.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.526435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes30c154.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.83850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c150.75$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0514955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c140.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7711752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No74c135.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes29c133.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No76c131.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No74c130.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.361450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes77c128.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.042759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No73c120$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.63237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c114$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.223641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked No20c103.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c103.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7413049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes28c102.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.174729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes25c101.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No68c88.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4511050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes38c84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.467435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.752454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes21c70.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.921040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes38c70.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.614637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No77c64.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes26c63.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.711435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+161.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes27c51.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No78c50.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.05580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes26c46.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes44c45.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes36c44.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.571163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No74c42.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No74c38.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes66c36.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…344fbacked No58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No74c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick64cpaid-71.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No78c34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes35c33.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked No77c28.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked No70c27.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked No75c21.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes56c19.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.865853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No75c16.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed No74c15.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f4…b240backed No72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No74c13.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.