Golf · resolved market
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x415864896fbbe9473e89d6639c2e87764022f04627d2e6e049c95641075162a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 46,277$13,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,539.03 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -23.7wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 71c | 25,320$18,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,273.59 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 79c | 13,065$10,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes | 26c | 7,354$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.22 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 7c | 3,788$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 77c | 3,261$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 16c | 3,064$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 72c | 2,988$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.8 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 72c | 2,418$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.71 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…9ffebacked Yes | 17c | 2,241$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.8 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…c703backed Yes | 41c | 1,725$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 76c | 1,431$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 12c | 1,231$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Yes | 6c | 775.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked No | 79c | 627.9$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Yes | 11c | 620.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 62c | 589.01$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed No | 78c | 566.41$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 77c | 540.72$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…ecc1backed Yes | 7c | 522.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 72c | 519.63$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 38c | 450$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 67c | 446.25$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…da93backed Yes | 18c | 435.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes | 14c | 432.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…9699backed Yes | 8c | 431.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Yes | 8c | 429.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…496dbacked Yes | 13c | 378.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 71c | 360.67$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…7395backed Yes | 28c | 336.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 6c | 295.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 70c | 210.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 64c | 197.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 62c | 173.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 61c | 171.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes | 28c | 168.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…b33bbacked Yes | 29c | 162.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 63c | 154.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…c1b4backed Yes | 16c | 145.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed No | 78c | 141.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Yes | 40c | 138.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 62c | 123.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9e93backed Yes | 15c | 123.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…ff48backed No | 74c | 113.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…a334backed Yes | 22c | 95.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 62c | 82.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed No | 75c | 70.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 16c | 65.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec58…4307backed Yes | 19c | 62.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…208bbacked Yes | 31c | 62.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 65c | 46.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…7311backed Yes | 30c | 38.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 32.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…3269backed No | 72c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…6112backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 63c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?this page
- Will Andrew Putnam win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Austin Smotherman win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will David Ford win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?Yes won
- Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Jordan L. Smith win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Mark Hubbard win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Rico Hoey win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Seong-Hyeon Kim win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Steven Fisk win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Thorbjorn Olesen win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will William Mouw win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.