Golf · resolved market
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4caf22d11688d005214296a0430edf16ab95f97b4322e8e55bb93e557d35c154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 72c | 13,477$9,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes | 50c | 4,333$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.31 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 27c | 3,676$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.05 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 50c | 2,913$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.41 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 28c | 2,716$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,478$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Yes | 53c | 2,279$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.28 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 13c | 1,704$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 24c | 1,129$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a080backed Yes | 21c | 889.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 25c | 719.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Yes | 27c | 694.67$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Yes | 21c | 585.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 35c | 552.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 24c | 534.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…9ffebacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Yes | 56c | 485.19$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.81 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 47c | 468.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 20c | 437.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 47c | 425.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc9…c555backed Yes | 35c | 411.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked No | 59c | 369.87$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0006…0215backed Yes | 45c | 366.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Yes | 23c | 326.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 43c | 266.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 57c | 256.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 6c | 251.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 76c | 208.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 47c | 179.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 72c | 174.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Yes | 58c | 167.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 12c | 150.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…35d0backed No | 75c | 149.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…cdd7backed Yes | 33c | 143.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…c1b4backed Yes | 24c | 100.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 24c | 97.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…6534backed No | 79c | 79.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 58c | 77.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…7311backed Yes | 54c | 64.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 78c | 63.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 80c | 59.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 58.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Yes | 28c | 54.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed No | 46c | 48.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 23c | 47.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac1…df27backed No | 46c | 45.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes | 52c | 37.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…2e6abacked No | 46c | 34.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed No | 58c | 32.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…b7cbbacked No | 79c | 29.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 49c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…412ebacked No | 50c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 49c | 26.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed No | 58c | 21.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed No | 75c | 20.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…0535backed No | 78c | 17.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked No | 78c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?this page
- Will Andrew Putnam win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Austin Smotherman win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will David Ford win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?Yes won
- Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Jordan L. Smith win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Keith Mitchell win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Mark Hubbard win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Rico Hoey win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Seong-Hyeon Kim win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Steven Fisk win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Thorbjorn Olesen win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will Tony Finau win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
- Will William Mouw win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.