TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,029 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2422…d02cbacked Yes7c4,477$336 inLost-$335.74156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf95…77bdbacked Yes7c3,950$287 inLost-$286.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes23c3,271$764 inLost-$763.611712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No79c1,904$1,507 inWon+$397.185044%22 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes3c1,358$36 inLost-$36.324810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No76c1,073$818 inWon+$255.474951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes3c1,048$29 inLost-$29.34504%2 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc9…c555backed Yes7c638.14$47 inLost-$47.223010%3 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes24c614.41$148 inLost-$147.94263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes13c254.22$32 inLost-$32.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes20c237.79$48 inLost-$47.972669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11cc…d1debacked Yes5c197.95$10 inLost-$10.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes11c170.99$18 inLost-$18.3611412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Yes17c163.13$29 inLost-$28.513810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes19c140.33$27 inLost-$26.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No80c116.42$93 inWon+$23.283360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f4…6534backed Yes16c111$18 inLost-$17.76540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes20c105.34$21 inLost-$20.923729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes17c74.15$12 inLost-$12.34714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-58.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No80c72.88$58 inWon+$14.582669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed No77c14.85$11 inWon+$3.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.