TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,895 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b7c…5f83backed No43c6,458$2,778 inLost-$2,777.765044%22 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No21c2,911$622 inLost-$621.664951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Yes55c2,433$1,348 inWon+$1,084.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes42c2,394$1,002 inWon+$1,392.474810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Yes40c1,350$542 inWon+$807.9540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No5c1,220$57 inLost-$57.126142.6%26 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No23c1,038$237 inLost-$237.413525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No7c917.24$62 inLost-$61.765133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No17c884.15$152 inLost-$151.722347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes58c607.41$353 inWon+$254.513414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked No50c413.88$207 inLost-$206.84156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-80.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb259…8a59backed Yes6c400$24 inWon+$375.6306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc9…c555backed Yes45c377.68$169 inWon+$208.483010%3 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked No60c325.85$195 inLost-$195.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No60c325.85$195 inLost-$195.182454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes55c309.08$169 inWon+$140.283729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0006…0215backed Yes24c267.97$64 inWon+$203.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked No8c235.53$20 inLost-$19.56714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-58.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No21c219.5$46 inLost-$45.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed No8c149.21$12 inLost-$12.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No8c142.69$12 inLost-$11.744932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…208bbacked Yes52c133.71$69 inWon+$64.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No56c77.89$44 inLost-$43.623360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No75c40$30 inLost-$29.91560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed No60c37.18$22 inLost-$22.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed No60c21.88$13 inLost-$13.111957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No76c19.96$15 inLost-$15.21844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1983…eb99backed Yes79c19.75$16 inWon+$4.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No60c19.29$12 inLost-$11.561861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.