TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,205 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes58c25,000$14,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,409.982729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No52c15,773$8,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,549.423525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No63c10,391$6,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,848.725044%22 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No70c10,232$7,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.751947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes32c10,132$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.49210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Yes3c9,770$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No75c6,836$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.322441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Yes56c6,350$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes4c5,539$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.881127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes7c4,088$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.79128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No43c3,999$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x638f…4de0backed Yes67c3,877$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+94.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No61c3,465$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.82580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+104.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes7c2,958$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes7c2,025$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.05724.2%3 W · 69 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Yes62c1,997$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes53c1,950$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.3456.7%3 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-87.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes3c1,732$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6611712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes5c1,479$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.72533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick3cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed No68c1,463$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.162227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes5c1,369$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.654436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes4c1,316$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes31c1,133$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-79.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes45c1,121$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes37c1,115$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.64219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf72c…eeb7backed Yes6c1,109$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Yes4c1,104$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04de…7729backed Yes7c1,056$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb25…a01fbacked Yes7c1,055$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1865…1401backed Yes32c1,039$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb9…3965backed Yes7c1,038$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70af…e586backed Yes7c1,033$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Yes6c1,001$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…bebdbacked Yes4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3590%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeab…5027backed Yes7c995$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes8c985.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6470%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Yes4c957.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6e…6419backed Yes7c948$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…2c48backed Yes7c906$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4229…a471backed Yes7c890$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed Yes20c889.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.051936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9676…8349backed Yes65c884.98$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.051414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid+51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes6c869.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13411.8%4 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-80.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes26c832.95$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.422020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081b…e6fcbacked Yes7c818$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb2…f0cbbacked Yes7c806$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Yes12c710$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.01742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f7…51bfbacked Yes7c699$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2970…f89bbacked Yes7c631$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed No47c629.36$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+210.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ba6…0169backed Yes7c608$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4721backed Yes59c600$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+78.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5661…5921backed Yes46c559.24$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.04549.3%5 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-76.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes5c559.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1117226.7%46 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes14c525$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-74.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No70c518.16$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.572347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d91…db63backed Yes4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes4c500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes4c500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes59c500$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Yes58c482.76$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c482.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…9684backed Yes7c470$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes58c465$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.877529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No73c457.7$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes64c455.12$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290382.6%1 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-95.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes6c432.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc1…9452backed Yes7c432$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No58c430.3$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.234928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4452…c7cabacked Yes7c428$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes60c414.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked No44c409.9$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes34c404.11$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes5c402$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2810850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes3c400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f17…7c80backed Yes50c395.71$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes4c386.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153810.5%4 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb095…103ebacked Yes7c384$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf1…ac4ebacked Yes60c368.69$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.04160%0 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed No42c357.82$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x039f…4a5ebacked Yes62c355.1$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b0…2de4backed Yes6c350.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…1335backed Yes6c337.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Yes66c325$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.851323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe94f…d6e5backed No62c316$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x264f…3a66backed Yes39c307.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0e46backed Yes3c306.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed No42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…0601backed Yes10c295.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes7c291.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203917.9%7 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes8c289.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33411.8%4 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-80.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes5c279.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes33c258.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a2…dd68backed No62c238$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8307…ce8dbacked No62c235$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes8c234.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes5c230.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3270%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed No44c225.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae9…0710backed Yes10c220.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.13812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.