Golf · resolved market

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c7cb3afb1e5f70302dcb09a39e9684286c2b8830e5981006473d3ef3f9ad7f

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $53,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes	0c	10,609$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	1c	3,656$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes	4c	2,702$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes	4c	2,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.55	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	5c	1,734$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.9	72	4.2%3 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9676…8349backed Yes	7c	1,632$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes	4c	1,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf17d…a665backed Yes	11c	1,175$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes	5c	1,030$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	25cpaid	+109.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38b…bebdbacked Yes	3c	1,000$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…e0ebbacked Yes	22c	500$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Yes	9c	441.12$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.35	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes	4c	415.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Yes	6c	410.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ee…cbe9backed Yes	18c	409.05$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Yes	22c	320.53$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes	4c	319.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes	7c	280.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	13cpaid	-95.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	6c	173.34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes	19c	140.23$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4092…aa61backed Yes	18c	114$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f59…e76bbacked Yes	19c	108$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes	19c	102.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-77%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c2…c069backed Yes	24c	102.04$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b2…15fbbacked Yes	19c	98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870c…40ddbacked Yes	19c	98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863c…3169backed Yes	20c	97.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	17c	88.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…5dd0backed Yes	19c	70$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f17…7c80backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event