Golf · resolved market

Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb90c3cca6838befe0079b76366f9c8bb736fa2e0ba08d0c21decf9c85fbebbc

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,499 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x22da…2866backed Yes	5c	9,997$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.97	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f9…9478backed Yes	0c	6,581$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,143$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes	5c	2,001$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	4c	1,308$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.96	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes	5c	1,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…45d7backed Yes	4c	886.85$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	622.84$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…1335backed Yes	6c	517.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Yes	6c	508.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	4c	334.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes	5c	279.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	172	26.7%46 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes	5c	275.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Yes	5c	247.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event