Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba43b1afe3add5c80b67aa98dc8f9b0eb0de2ee284ec7c2822546494c12fb738

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,515 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9dea…3792backed Yes	18c	6,897$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes	4c	2,160$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.67	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Yes	7c	1,800$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed Yes	10c	1,597$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.47	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+210.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Yes	3c	910$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes	16c	772.94$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.67	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…dda9backed Yes	16c	625.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…08b8backed Yes	24c	618.36$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	8c	608.41$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.59	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3487backed Yes	13c	578.05$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes	9c	560.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb68d…9b4abacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Yes	10c	320$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Yes	16c	311.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	305.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	39	2.6%1 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	172	26.7%46 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45c…f439backed Yes	15c	295.73$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.36	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	14c	260$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes	7c	250$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Yes	17c	239.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	25cpaid	+109.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes	15c	235$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.34	122	7.4%9 W · 113 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes	7c	221.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f9…9478backed Yes	12c	209.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbce…fcccbacked Yes	9c	166.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f8…1335backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…7e72backed Yes	15c	97.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f4f…4d73backed Yes	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddc…7b24backed Yes	18c	87.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Yes	13c	87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes	16c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ad…9424backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event