TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,718 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes4c4,970$188 inLost-$187.8823319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd7…aacebacked Yes5c2,865$155 inLost-$154.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6461…0505backed Yes5c2,136$115 inLost-$115.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc5…5a29backed Yes1c2,077$29 inLost-$29.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc46…2c94backed Yes5c2,076$112 inLost-$112.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb068…834bbacked Yes1c1,990$28 inLost-$27.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d7…10edbacked Yes1c1,962$27 inLost-$27.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7adb…cbe2backed Yes5c1,798$97 inLost-$97.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes6c1,735$100 inLost-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7b…2748backed Yes5c1,666$90 inLost-$89.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d79…7b50backed Yes5c1,659$90 inLost-$89.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38f…0b1dbacked Yes1c1,655$18 inLost-$18.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dd…18cfbacked Yes1c1,619$18 inLost-$17.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…40c1backed Yes1c1,612$18 inLost-$17.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f60…cb70backed Yes1c1,593$18 inLost-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ae…84e5backed Yes1c1,593$18 inLost-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eee…3bacbacked Yes1c1,589$17 inLost-$17.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes4c1,318$47 inLost-$47.162020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20c…d5b8backed Yes1c1,135$16 inLost-$15.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae91…6ae4backed Yes1c1,110$16 inLost-$15.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9d…aababacked Yes1c1,102$15 inLost-$15.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b1…9787backed Yes1c1,100$15 inLost-$15.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes5c1,040$50 inLost-$50355.7%2 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd08f…038ebacked Yes1c975$14 inLost-$13.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab1…b84bbacked Yes1c923$13 inLost-$12.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a66…2c23backed Yes5c817.05$40 inLost-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ab…ad9abacked Yes1c793$11 inLost-$11.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63dc…9644backed Yes5c722.9$39 inLost-$38.66714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes4c520.62$22 inLost-$22.39714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-58.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes4c500$20 inLost-$19.51723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes3c492.76$16 inLost-$16.23323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes4c400$16 inLost-$15.61227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f9…9478backed Yes6c308.42$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68d…9b4abacked Yes4c300.7$12 inLost-$12.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.