TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,902 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x661d…4dc6backed No59c10,381$6,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.064951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5eb…c512backed Yes50c5,036$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.34166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-91.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No52c4,263$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.613411.8%4 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-80.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661b…17babacked Yes55c3,551$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes68c3,525$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.682263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed No50c2,668$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.362729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes3c1,938$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3310123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes56c1,690$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-79.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes38c1,616$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.385044%22 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No57c1,535$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.092441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No74c1,495$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.77887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No71c1,203$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.41875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes52c1,184$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes53c1,178$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.67825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes23c1,069$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes26c976.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Yes59c800$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.721323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eba…e346backed Yes2c793$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c4…a89fbacked Yes2c783$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ce…ac56backed Yes2c782$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bd…6563backed Yes2c759$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5e…017cbacked Yes2c747$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32a…7ba8backed Yes2c730$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes25c686.2$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes4c628.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25724.2%3 W · 69 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…bc1bbacked Yes2c628$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes63c623.8$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.833729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No72c593.44$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf940…ccf1backed Yes2c580$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039f…4a5ebacked Yes35c574.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No73c573.5$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.072347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5d…292fbacked Yes2c526$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf1…af27backed Yes2c507$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes22c505$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.11128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes45c457.21$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.032025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes58c438.18$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.194928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes39c410.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0322546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5661…5921backed Yes28c377.11$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.92549.3%5 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-76.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No75c350$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.915565.5%36 W · 19 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No37c290.79$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.192020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Yes52c263.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.971233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No67c205.14$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Yes51c194.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Yes22c179.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Yes11c176.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6a…8f52backed Yes59c169.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7027…49dbbacked Yes62c153.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes23c152.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ee…73f5backed Yes8c130.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Yes61c122.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes15c117.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13611.1%4 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked No44c113.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.993915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae9…0710backed Yes19c110.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x572c…13dfbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.111936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked No38c99.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.23933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes26c98.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.511010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed No77c91.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No37c88.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.91616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f4d…3e2cbacked Yes20c78.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.761040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No62c67.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Yes35c58.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes27c54.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.645133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes38c51.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed17…ad0bbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed No75c47.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.93580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x804c…7846backed Yes54c46.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed No43c43.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c2…c069backed Yes62c40.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Yes35c40.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Yes54c39.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No76c37.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.044932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed No61c34.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes58c34.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked No78c31.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…b8c3backed Yes34c29.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes72c25.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.557529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed No67c19.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7429…7c3dbacked Yes58c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8610850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes61c16.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.228118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.