Golf · resolved market

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6fd0a583688cfa4b6c1e078211ea82668157f67541c8fd771887bd099c34ba8

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,660 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd008…135dbacked Yes	4c	32,000$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes	5c	12,231$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.86	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d66…a551backed Yes	3c	3,418$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b6…5f39backed Yes	3c	2,490$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf72c…eeb7backed Yes	5c	2,464$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab6…0b8abacked Yes	3c	2,315$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…58dcbacked Yes	4c	2,121$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c6…eaefbacked Yes	3c	2,096$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbf…3957backed Yes	3c	2,074$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0032…fef9backed Yes	3c	1,916$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5157…ecb8backed Yes	4c	1,846$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9911…ee33backed Yes	3c	1,834$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc451…978ebacked Yes	6c	1,768$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.69	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd3…2e8ebacked Yes	4c	1,745$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83dc…d41dbacked Yes	3c	1,722$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fa…26c2backed Yes	4c	1,709$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde08…2504backed Yes	4c	1,520$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	4c	1,448$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.24	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d3…f5f0backed Yes	3c	1,338$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes	10c	1,243$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddb…1111backed Yes	4c	1,239$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes	4c	1,200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	13cpaid	-95.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x772e…e585backed Yes	4c	1,152$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb47d…ed37backed Yes	4c	1,061$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc6…ffc7backed Yes	4c	1,039$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc715…1b7dbacked Yes	4c	1,029$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	5c	1,017$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	72	4.2%3 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bd…8935backed Yes	4c	862$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes	2c	712.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	56	0%0 W · 56 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes	4c	668.53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	3c	647.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	3c	551$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	427.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	360$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.46	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	4c	261.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	116	8.6%10 W · 106 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+133.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…c448backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event