TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbce…fccc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$9.53
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.69
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+45%+$10.78
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$4.27
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$10.8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$51.28
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$76.8
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$84.75
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.59
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.21
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$10.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$5.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-42%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-60.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.2
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.07
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.32
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$30.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+171%+$20.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$22.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.