Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09910975ce74a903e5ef7fb28268eca9436adb196640bb26eabc07343d0c77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,531 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…d389backed No | 0c | 15,062$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 28c | 13,547$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,801.62 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes | 9c | 11,962$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,877.42 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 30c | 10,495$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,298.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 32c | 9,848$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.75 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…09abbacked Yes | 7c | 8,969$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,320.71 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed No | 24c | 8,912$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 57c | 8,598$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 4c | 5,376$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.83 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…e8e3backed Yes | 37c | 5,058$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,928$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.8 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 40c | 4,856$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 29c | 4,590$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.36 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd9…b749backed No | 1c | 2,929$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 36c | 2,847$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,701$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.33 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…31cdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,214$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,136$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.75 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136b…b79dbacked No | 66c | 1,969$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 24c | 1,967$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 33c | 1,830$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…a1b3backed No | 76c | 1,823$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,805$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 13c | 1,735$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.74 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 46c | 1,730$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…44a1backed No | 69c | 1,665$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…f1b3backed No | 40c | 1,605$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…10dabacked No | 78c | 1,488$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e2c5backed Yes | 8c | 1,259$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +462.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 78c | 1,238$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.29 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…ff77backed Yes | 1c | 1,203$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +877.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.8 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…058dbacked No | 64c | 1,176$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.51 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.97 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 76c | 1,094$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.06 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 79c | 1,068$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.43 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 6c | 1,039$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 21c | 1,036$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 996.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.17 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 25c | 982.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.82 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…6cd2backed Yes | 21c | 944.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 24c | 928.46$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.95 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 55c | 920.51$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.94 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 10c | 896.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.44 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…804bbacked Yes | 15c | 855.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 7c | 840.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.07 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed No | 59c | 820.15$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 6c | 756.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.73 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 30c | 756.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.63 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…bfa4backed Yes | 7c | 715.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…76f7backed Yes | 12c | 614.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…46d4backed Yes | 17c | 582.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 77c | 550.18$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.15 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked No | 15c | 535.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 528.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +270.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 68c | 488.16$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.95 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…bd3abacked Yes | 5c | 471.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 8c | 458.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.67 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3809…19e9backed No | 65c | 445.84$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 46c | 437.27$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…df7ebacked Yes | 45c | 429.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…d3d0backed No | 72c | 425.61$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed No | 22c | 407.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 20c | 402.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.82 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked Yes | 49c | 394.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 6c | 373.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.27 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 19c | 367.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 364.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.82 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…9982backed Yes | 11c | 363.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 8c | 352.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.35 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277a…bbe6backed Yes | 4c | 348.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,492.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked No | 33c | 339.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…5099backed Yes | 19c | 327.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +242.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 12c | 305.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.87 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…cb67backed Yes | 6c | 300.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 13c | 296.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.68 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 19c | 291.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.79 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…5f3dbacked Yes | 31c | 287.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…73cebacked Yes | 22c | 268.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 66c | 265.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 15c | 264.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37f…bcddbacked No | 69c | 256.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…4e4cbacked Yes | 22c | 255.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…9e84backed Yes | 55c | 243.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 52c | 239.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…7c32backed Yes | 6c | 232.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 22c | 221.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…4dccbacked Yes | 19c | 217.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…79a1backed Yes | 12c | 213.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +251.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 47c | 207.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Yes | 23c | 204.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…3964backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…d71bbacked No | 68c | 199.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…6ca9backed Yes | 12c | 199.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Yes | 53c | 195.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…858bbacked Yes | 27c | 193.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.