Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33cc2d53b1d54033abe2a3676501021c9fa890a4cb0d815d7ff5d27b9acaf8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,901 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 0c | 42,085$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 58c | 10,541$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.47 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 30c | 4,890$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.93 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 74c | 4,617$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 69c | 4,167$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.63 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 62c | 3,199$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.88 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 79c | 2,501$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 52c | 1,938$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 20c | 1,340$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.41 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 37c | 1,054$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…6cd2backed Yes | 58c | 1,034$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…6e84backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…10dabacked No | 44c | 969.64$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…2538backed No | 15c | 916.53$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…a1b3backed No | 43c | 899.39$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15eb…491cbacked Yes | 57c | 899.09$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…c095backed Yes | 58c | 874.65$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked No | 9c | 816.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 39c | 632.08$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed Yes | 74c | 623.01$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed No | 24c | 585.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 37c | 583.76$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 37c | 525.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 64c | 435.59$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 45c | 396.39$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 59c | 331.93$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3809…19e9backed No | 30c | 325.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 46c | 309$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 10c | 304.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…4b16backed Yes | 70c | 238.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…f93fbacked No | 44c | 224.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes | 63c | 214.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 192.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 27c | 181.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1519…573cbacked No | 55c | 177.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…5f3dbacked Yes | 62c | 150.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 19c | 145.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…4e4cbacked Yes | 55c | 138.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked No | 35c | 136.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 73c | 133.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…d71bbacked No | 38c | 131.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed Yes | 52c | 129.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 76c | 127.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…d3d0backed No | 38c | 126.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed No | 48c | 125.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8b…3ab8backed No | 47c | 125.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 25c | 117.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Yes | 63c | 113.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 37c | 104.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…ee85backed No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 12c | 99.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked No | 34c | 97.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed Yes | 55c | 96.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 53c | 91.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e142backed No | 26c | 85.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…f3a9backed No | 15c | 78.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…891fbacked Yes | 77c | 76.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…7854backed No | 26c | 73.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Yes | 77c | 70.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…5828backed No | 53c | 70.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…7818backed Yes | 62c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13a…76c2backed No | 45c | 64.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…3da8backed No | 47c | 61.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…1bfbbacked No | 17c | 61.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…cc75backed No | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 75c | 58.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9743…4eeabacked No | 40c | 55.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…2626backed Yes | 69c | 52.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ca…51a5backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 40c | 48.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…5099backed Yes | 63c | 47.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +242.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…f5acbacked No | 47c | 45.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked No | 45c | 45.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0884…370abacked No | 40c | 44.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…322abacked No | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…f866backed No | 40c | 43.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…d389backed No | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 48c | 39.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3e60backed No | 50c | 38.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…22f4backed No | 40c | 38.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ef…a1c6backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 54c | 35.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…8d7cbacked Yes | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…e4dabacked Yes | 70c | 34.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 46c | 31.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…dbccbacked No | 41c | 31.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39de…014ebacked No | 45c | 30.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…25a0backed No | 41c | 25.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…77dfbacked Yes | 46c | 24.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773b…0e03backed No | 44c | 23.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb565…5052backed Yes | 60c | 23.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…9f4ebacked Yes | 61c | 20.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.