TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,900 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6ee…0bd0backed No64c17,616$11,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,341.923354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes36c11,064$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.0451749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Yes71c7,018$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes34c5,364$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c4,661$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.261,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c4,002$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.151,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c3,769$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.48,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No79c3,223$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.321132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes39c3,079$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2016546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c2,797$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.441,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No20c2,790$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.868444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes36c2,372$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.781030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes27c1,554$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.31030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes39c1,462$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57017049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No61c1,409$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.575354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes19c1,250$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.519124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes44c1,057$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.3218160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes40c834.7$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.88540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No64c799.96$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.983171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed No17c700$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+192.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d3d…5f66backed No17c700$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+485.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked Yes24c609.83$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed No18c600$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4951020%2 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No61c518$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.023138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No75c515.58$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.651,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c514.04$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.261,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c489.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.752,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No65c441.93$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.954231%13 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No78c393$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6432936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes15c349.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.351936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes37c348.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes27c339$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.211752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes36c325.04$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.78530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes37c310.42$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10512741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x744e…3224backed No16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes37c271.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes38c270$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.68831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked No20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked No20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.52,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No17c235$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.751915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked No17c235$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.752020%4 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+247.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No65c227.75$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.711,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No62c225.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8111763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c210$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.421,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No65c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7117066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes10c183.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.613,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No63c180$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3155155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes38c170$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5517143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked No63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x015a…0f35backed Yes18c138.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No70c134.14$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7118338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.74845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No63c129$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6415459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No65c129$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.154156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes14c120.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.853154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes39c119$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4123354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Yes36c117$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes14c113.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes9c111.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x38ea…95d1backed Yes12c103.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes36c102.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes18c94.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5671619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes19c94.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes17c90.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152030%6 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes26c88.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1510058%58 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc194…f69fbacked Yes18c87.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No27c80$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.84425%11 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c77.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.463,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes36c76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.366543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes25c71.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7727053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes25c60.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Yes20c59.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No61c56.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.97352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes36c55.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1439853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No61c54.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.226857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8924253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.892958.6%17 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes39c50.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.894748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes39c50.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No61c49.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2211448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes25c46.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.886731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No61c46.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2621359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No69c43.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.494560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No61c41.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.049361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No72c40.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c38.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.042,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c36.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.531,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No69c36.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3819144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked No63c36.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da8…539abacked Yes39c35.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No70c35.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.637133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes31c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0216534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed Yes36c31.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.313253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.19854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbce…fcccbacked No64c28.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.