South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc406868f5f7f8f2aaf335961689f7cb23e4b7370928ee5b9a9ae73d3c5b5b730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,663 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 21,814$16,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,062.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 12,557$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,225.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,914$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.22 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142b…c8c9backed Yes | 28c | 1,418$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 1,381$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.74 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,323$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,282$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 1,178$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.5 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 26c | 1,005$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 22c | 863.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.75 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 617.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.3 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 600.86$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.06 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 551.46$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.33 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 398.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.06 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 351.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.88 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 78c | 321.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 77c | 309.89$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 34c | 295.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 26c | 279.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.65 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 257.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 233.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 60c | 226.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 40c | 218.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Yes | 73c | 175.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 78c | 159.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 151.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 26c | 142.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed No | 79c | 106.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 27c | 99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 98.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes | 75c | 96.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 24c | 95.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Yes | 28c | 69.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 53c | 68.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…68fabacked Yes | 74c | 67.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 22c | 63.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 72c | 57.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 53.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 37c | 52.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…7613backed Yes | 77c | 51.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…4e3dbacked Yes | 27c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 45.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 27c | 45.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 39.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 29c | 39.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 37.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 74c | 32.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 31.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 73c | 29.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 74c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 73c | 25.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed Yes | 74c | 23.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 80c | 20.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 18.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…e14abacked Yes | 72c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.