TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,194,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$771,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,194,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c110,404$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.1323319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes3c60,000$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.35156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Yes4c46,319$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes3c45,396$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.6790%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes1c43,668$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes3c36,374$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.58687.4%5 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes3c33,013$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.09190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes3c31,403$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.66440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Yes1c27,254$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Yes3c20,417$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.7580%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes2c18,111$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.0450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes2c16,738$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7970%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes3c16,662$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes2c15,391$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.65437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Yes3c14,122$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.8580%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes2c12,020$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.382010%2 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-86.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9bc…35d9backed Yes2c10,730$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…1654backed Yes2c10,730$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b2…0b43backed Yes3c10,119$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.29540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55da…d1e9backed Yes5c10,100$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes3c10,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340250%0 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204b…4605backed Yes2c9,800$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c9,300$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3220%0 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes4c9,054$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes4c8,558$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes4c8,552$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes3c8,025$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes2c7,653$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.14560%0 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18b…2624backed Yes1c6,457$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.22254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c5,543$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.45392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes2c5,226$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.64323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes2c5,002$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.884810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Yes2c5,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes5c4,577$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.31671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.062953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c4,067$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.361168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Yes4c3,969$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6290%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes3c3,575$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8210123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes2c3,484$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.32323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes1c3,312$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9914043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa000…9630backed Yes3c3,199$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f16…da10backed Yes3c3,125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes1c3,091$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4211412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c81…5d38backed Yes3c3,051$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.66911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes3c3,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick3cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes4c2,944$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c2,391$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.59310%0 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes4c2,106$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.18829.8%8 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-68.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82d…7199backed Yes2c2,070$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb8…7aa5backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes3c2,000$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes1c1,999$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.991010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-81.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes2c1,714$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.835516.4%9 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes2c1,677$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.35316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes2c1,591$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c8…c534backed Yes4c1,546$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39c…276abacked Yes3c1,539$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes3c1,515$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-85.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Yes3c1,515$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9180%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x053d…caedbacked Yes2c1,462$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5be…15f0backed Yes2c1,368$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2052…b249backed Yes3c1,298$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.92714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc02…97b7backed Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe673…b3d9backed Yes3c1,212$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes1c1,070$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes3c1,064$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.387031.4%22 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c3…7a04backed Yes4c1,061$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c0…e07bbacked Yes2c1,042$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes3c1,040$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.98180%0 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x494d…2567backed Yes4c1,037$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288c…3b31backed Yes4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes3c999.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34382.6%1 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-95.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes2c969.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.97185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba6…2d95backed Yes3c944$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes3c937.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.628118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d09…b88abacked Yes2c928.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a61…aa9dbacked Yes4c925$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0926…4624backed Yes3c923.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…2cebbacked Yes2c916.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.69128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-64%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa7…9cd9backed Yes2c911.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-78.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Yes3c899.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…d389backed Yes2c899.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162e…fe52backed Yes3c896.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…ba39backed Yes4c866$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa870…c2b8backed Yes2c863.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes4c861.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes4c855.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.533729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d5e…de1dbacked Yes4c848.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f5…8e41backed Yes4c837$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbce…fcccbacked Yes3c833$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…73f0backed Yes3c832$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b7…b326backed Yes4c816.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954a…b92abacked Yes3c816$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes3c800$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8504%2 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd464…7d87backed Yes4c781$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes2c778.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fa…cdd4backed Yes3c773$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc06e…412abacked Yes3c751$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.