TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d5e…de1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Daniel Altmaier vs Alexander Zverevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$108.15
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.01
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$207.88
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$35.94
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$23.18
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Libacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.47
Madrid Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$266.62
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.78
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$106.68
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$76.54
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Madrid Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$44.64
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.27
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.49
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+552.8%+$165.83
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.83
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$45.36
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.11
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.43
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.01
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.59
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.18
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.