South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c56f3a1ddf2f36a69529d64bb46b71d3ef00a30d0259ff67373745fc1ed5b32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 3c | 6,873$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.17 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 5,750$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 19c | 3,641$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.18 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 3,093$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 2,786$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 19c | 2,083$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.77 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 65c | 1,959$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.64 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 31c | 1,548$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.43 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 36c | 1,068$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.64 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 782.9$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 35c | 588.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…649cbacked No | 34c | 565.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 68c | 464.3$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 65c | 447.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 34c | 432.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 80c | 422.14$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 64c | 406.09$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 397.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 353.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 27c | 272.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 13c | 272.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 66c | 266.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 70c | 257.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed No | 72c | 245.8$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 16c | 237.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 20c | 224.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 37c | 192.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 58c | 189.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 35c | 181.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 58c | 168.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 37c | 167.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 52c | 165.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 40c | 155.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 145.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 65c | 141.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 17c | 139.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 36c | 133.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 106.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 102.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 30c | 91.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 40c | 84.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 17c | 84.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 42c | 80.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…ce4abacked Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…de1dbacked Yes | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 31c | 68.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 48c | 64.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 62c | 63.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 64c | 63.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 22c | 62.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…ae0dbacked Yes | 64c | 59.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 63c | 53.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Yes | 67c | 51.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 50.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 64c | 44.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 60c | 43.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 66c | 35.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Yes | 64c | 34.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 76c | 29.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 74c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 45c | 22.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 67c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 65c | 16.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.