South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc39509956dde5b7e3fac39a79b65073407422bea97a27de68d54466464c230b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 27c | 6,457$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.45 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Yes | 14c | 1,692$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,638$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 1,371$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,253$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 1,147$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,052$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.87 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 803.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.49 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 73c | 675.93$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 76c | 656.02$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 643.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 50c | 534.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.87 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 20c | 406.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 368.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…08dbbacked Yes | 31c | 307.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 76c | 224.62$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 206.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 17c | 200.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 77c | 130.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 69c | 109.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 79c | 109.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 102.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8f22backed Yes | 30c | 101.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 70c | 101.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 27c | 88.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 13c | 85.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 81.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 73c | 81.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 73c | 78.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 69.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 64.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 60.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 57.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 56.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 55.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 24c | 54.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 76c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 22c | 47.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Yes | 23c | 45.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 24c | 43.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 72c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 76c | 24.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 76c | 24.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 73c | 23.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 66c | 18.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 13.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.