TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,932 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked No61c41,295$25,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,249.314544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes39c11,754$4,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,170.175046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c9,372$5,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.151,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes39c8,718$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,317.956546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…f4c6backed Yes39c8,268$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,067.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No61c7,845$4,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,787.922055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes40c7,519$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,518.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c6,909$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.868,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes41c6,044$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.3930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes39c4,615$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.3817049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No32c4,252$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.0616543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes39c3,830$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.37441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Yes39c3,183$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.636055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes68c2,034$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.4228651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes65c1,913$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.7421251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No61c1,762$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.0151749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c1,641$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.661,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No35c1,627$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.791,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c1,508$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.341,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Yes66c1,458$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c1,370$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.421,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Yes39c1,277$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.921833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes29c1,124$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.8128231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c1,065$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.231349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes39c1,047$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.7723354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes78c909.82$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.462,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c876.48$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.11,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes41c731.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.697951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c613.17$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No62c564.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No62c499.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9917946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No61c499.97$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9811245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes67c478.23$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2721132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No63c468.68$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.279752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes59c449.62$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.093246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No60c438$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.830754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No16c413.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.212828.1%36 W · 92 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes52c361.72$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.255819%11 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes38c335.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.032268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c330.53$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.195,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes38c313.81$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0650746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No28c308.09$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7918338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c290.41$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.513,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes51c270.11$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No61c263.31$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.881973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7db2…ca52backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed No26c235$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.245442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes38c230.63$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.991,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.391250%6 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+120.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c216.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.971,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No61c208.41$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0167548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes38c201$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.623138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12217066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No21c191$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.161546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed No62c160.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.723737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb71c…9fc7backed Yes38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9394…4e1cbacked No62c153.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes39c150.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.012737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c148.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.61,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No60c143.39$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.511,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes60c142.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.481,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Yes26c142.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes49c142.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6610160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c137.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.72,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes23c133.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7825625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47c…1ab8backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcf…a152backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No63c126.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes38c120.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.771,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes38c120.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.742,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No12c120.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ef5…aafdbacked Yes39c114.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c111.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.83,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.266943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608648.8%42 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c99.45$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.641,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed No18c92.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.632528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Yes39c90.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Yes39c89.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.471560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9611819.5%23 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes30c85.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5114443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes58c84.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa413…9242backed Yes23c80$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes48c77.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.161,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes39c72.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.27554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda5…830dbacked Yes69c71.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d5e…de1dbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.97560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b83…66a2backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes29c63.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3213228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes68c59.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2111262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked No60c59.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.822166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes39c56.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5920953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.