South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa692b54b2da459ea1855e42c028841e88131091cb1ac039741447e8715bd877e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,725 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 28c | 18,972$5,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 72c | 15,969$11,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.32 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 1,657$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 72c | 1,579$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.12 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,367$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,245$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,218$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 1,188$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,151$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.97 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 703.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 24c | 673.82$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 17c | 571.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 504.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 436.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Yes | 4c | 388.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 28c | 379.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 12c | 337.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…2dbabacked Yes | 12c | 268.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…567bbacked Yes | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 247.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 123.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 118.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 15c | 110.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 75c | 100.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc068…113dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Yes | 15c | 97.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…f954backed No | 77c | 95.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +308.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…a232backed Yes | 27c | 89.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 84.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 72c | 81.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 74c | 77.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 72c | 66.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 71c | 59.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 25c | 50.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 29c | 39.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 38.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…74fcbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 77c | 33.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 72c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 80c | 18.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed No | 74c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 14.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.