South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebe39192e3f27d636eacdf5b4f90df0f7b115b7bd77a19eea74a3b53dd5a41b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 5,650$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.32 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.69 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,599$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.8 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 2,577$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,560$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,546$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…f4c6backed Yes | 48c | 1,535$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,115$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.29 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 1,106$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.11 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 66c | 1,086$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.49 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 966.84$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.82 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 41c | 736.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 689.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 13c | 665.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 591.97$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 52c | 460.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 33c | 412$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 298.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 205.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 46c | 201.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…9a07backed Yes | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…a152backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 106.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 34c | 100.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed No | 53c | 96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 65c | 89.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 66c | 87.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 35c | 82.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 81.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 73.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 33c | 69.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…9078backed No | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked Yes | 41c | 61.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Yes | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed No | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 23c | 53.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 34c | 50.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 51c | 49.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 66c | 45.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…8148backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 57c | 39.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 37.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 30.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 38c | 28.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 57c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 46c | 24.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…05ddbacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 57c | 24.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 68c | 23.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 71c | 22.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 79c | 21.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 66c | 20.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed No | 66c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5a…b0ecbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.