TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb036…9a07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick75cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$172.93
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$97.24
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$85.24
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$63.59
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$49.79
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.65
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.54
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$38.46
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+28%+$30.07
Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.77
Will Armenia vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippersbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.04
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$41.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+141%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.48
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+212.6%+$920.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$54.49
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$262.1
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$47.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$43.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+26%+$16.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.