Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9fec4228f6953bfe3830afac008c1255b1b403a1159b241e56d614e5cd773a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,346 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 1,264$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.89 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 828.86$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.52 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 79c | 770.22$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 54c | 668.71$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.15 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 31c | 558.36$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…fd5abacked Yes | 56c | 346.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 73c | 302$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 291.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 233.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…9a07backed No | 79c | 194.14$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 54c | 183.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 181.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 24c | 162.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 118.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 27c | 110.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 51c | 77.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 71c | 74.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…1344backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…93c2backed Yes | 25c | 51.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 62c | 48.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 47.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 22c | 45.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 67c | 40.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 30.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.