South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74449d774d0e40ba9a457c7f9851e94c3c2a41cfa0d2e69e4727e3bfb962173a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,942 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 4,903$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 3,825$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.44 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 25c | 1,214$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 955.85$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 29c | 699.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 23c | 686.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bec…80aebacked Yes | 33c | 363.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…9a07backed No | 77c | 327.44$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 319.57$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 33c | 304.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 17c | 298.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 278.81$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 262.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 187.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 33c | 178.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 30c | 141$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 8c | 128.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 33c | 96.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 88.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 83.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 78.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 78.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 66c | 73.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…1ab8backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…047abacked No | 67c | 48.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 46.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7d…4132backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 33c | 39.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 38.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed No | 77c | 34.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 28.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 22.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 77c | 18.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will CA Tigre vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.