South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd18b157937175ceccdd3c0bb6f6b3692ca50c73651025fae84b2aa18b67068c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,047 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 7,489$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 7,147$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.24 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 4c | 3,477$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 2,627$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.81 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 66c | 1,855$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.3 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 53c | 1,455$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.73 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 36c | 969.65$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 717.46$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.25 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 521.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 424.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 33c | 382.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.48 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 241.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 35c | 124.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 98.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed No | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 79.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 40c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 57c | 63.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 35c | 59.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 30c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked Yes | 47c | 57.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 39c | 56.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 66c | 54.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 40c | 52.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed No | 65c | 42.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 62c | 39.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 61c | 31.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d1…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 27.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 67c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.