TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c12,789$3,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.691,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c10,925$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.928,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No7c8,489$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.245,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe291…748ebacked Yes75c8,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes62c5,663$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.3910546.7%49 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes51c5,488$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.2975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No76c5,000$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8104768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes43c4,602$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.0648547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No62c3,946$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.44461.4%27 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No64c3,468$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.734436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No51c3,207$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.922,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes27c3,131$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.633925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes22c2,626$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.8623733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No32c2,362$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.8844843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No76c2,352$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.041861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No32c2,124$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.2127442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes57c2,096$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.15939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No35c2,009$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.4430847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes27c1,908$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.2438233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes63c1,657$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9512646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes53c1,563$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.338818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No36c1,477$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5625635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No67c1,451$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.3120065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No39c1,449$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.1932139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes27c1,306$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0167337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c1,283$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.831,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes72c1,267$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.575841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No41c1,261$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.0516641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes68c1,207$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5211039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes64c1,169$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.036339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No65c1,098$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes35c1,094$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.481833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed No13c1,047$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.914242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed No1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17028.6%20 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes20c1,003$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8031931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c934.6$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.221,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No36c910.51$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked No75c894.82$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6701776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No64c854.37$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2310128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f8…809cbacked Yes50c832.04$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.321553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cba…351cbacked Yes67c828.64$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes70c783.3$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.471,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b0…d3e3backed No20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa11…650bbacked Yes77c704.61$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.611573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No24c702.26$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7119437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No9c687$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.649710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No33c666.67$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9115143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No73c600$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4386243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No38c570.46$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.441,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes69c569.72$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1145946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes59c560.18$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No63c555.56$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c513$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.491,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c513$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.491,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c505.24$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.872,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f1…be41backed Yes37c486.77$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes66c482.16$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5914530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9171…9e5fbacked Yes58c476$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes67c462.78$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4824766%163 W · 84 L+27.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No33c450.44$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes25c449.07$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.571,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes69c437.43$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.346350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes48c434.76$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6416864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No76c426.67$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32512755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes76c413.59$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.91,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Yes74c405.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.436668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes64c404.45$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7720665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No32c402.04$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.653180.6%25 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+78.7%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Yes20c399.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.43935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No35c362.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes64c351.67$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4310875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No36c346.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No27c330$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.919050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes68c294.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.212738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c281.15$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.033,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes45c270.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.021,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c268.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.041,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0a…24b1backed Yes61c268.24$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.93520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes72c265.54$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.392,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1611657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606162.3%38 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes32c242.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.067048.6%34 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb036…9a07backed No77c232.27$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No77c232$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4935240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes59c231.58$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.582846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed No78c230.09$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.47966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc848…537bbacked Yes76c227.13$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.38955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes67c225.23$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0321765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes46c224$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8618359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c213.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.061,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No29c212$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No41c206.79$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.827342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked No78c204.33$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.362268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5005…bcb1backed No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No32c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.641435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.