Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1161192ccb2c8ccf16238fd7d9a7b6646a99bef9fb1b0b9ecc92f7318ec3cbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Yes | 58c | 1,727$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 1,239$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.97 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 36c | 979.35$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes | 58c | 448.89$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Yes | 27c | 448.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 44c | 420.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.75 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 31c | 321.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 274.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 201.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 39c | 199.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 54c | 176.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 6c | 159.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 120.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 115.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…9a07backed No | 72c | 108.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Yes | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 50c | 96.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 92.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 77.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 50c | 70.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 58c | 67.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 55c | 65.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 34c | 40.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Yes | 51c | 35.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 33.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 66c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.