Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0655522265aac5170269c05773bb5b6edb58824545623a1e13e469d0669fba27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,207 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 1,116$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.93 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 557.51$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.51 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Yes | 50c | 535.7$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 74c | 507.12$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 364.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.47 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 30c | 334.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 202.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 8c | 191.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 75c | 166.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 133$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 50c | 126.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 53c | 123.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 70c | 104.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 103.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 20c | 97.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 29c | 94.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 21c | 90.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 70c | 83.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 27c | 75.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 50c | 71.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 29c | 59.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 35c | 48.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 41c | 44.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…39b1backed No | 73c | 43.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 27c | 40.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 37.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 34c | 36.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 72c | 34.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed No | 35c | 29.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 64c | 26.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 72c | 24.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked No | 43c | 24.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…9422backed Yes | 63c | 23.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Yes | 79c | 19.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 76c | 13.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.