Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7e1db7bb42ec6da46402b93cfa8ce7a5f157e3b8d3611ed8d91d002ab780cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 1,601$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 894.99$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.66 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 30c | 704.08$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 44c | 577.86$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.26 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 573.42$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 13c | 562$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 55c | 463.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 44c | 421.62$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 21c | 343.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…a54cbacked Yes | 46c | 311.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 31c | 261.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 13c | 196.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 12c | 195.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 184.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 29c | 162.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 58c | 146.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…56e4backed Yes | 37c | 137$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…cf2abacked Yes | 66c | 136.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 100.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 96.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 26c | 78.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 77.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 50.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 48.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 72c | 45.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 31c | 45.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 41.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 54c | 32.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 64c | 32.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Yes | 44c | 26.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 56c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…9422backed Yes | 59c | 25.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 80c | 19.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.