Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00f089e6719773425a9da9e8469fcf16cb46a57de380e3fcd81695a46c27367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,949 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,484$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,021$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.32 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 14c | 871.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.37 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 811.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 740.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 266.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 249.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Yes | 15c | 196.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 16c | 171$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 150.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 149.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 128.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 103.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 20c | 100.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 97.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…9a07backed No | 79c | 78.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 73.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 74c | 60.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 25c | 60.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 58.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 78c | 49.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 34.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed No | 68c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…1391backed No | 76c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.