Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f425bc0ba8bef321451cce20c60dd6a51407bd0b5744f1e6368fb49344236d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,912 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,074$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 18c | 1,016$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 400.85$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 332.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.63 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 316.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 288.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 71c | 260.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.07 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 42c | 238.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 233.81$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 36c | 194.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 28c | 143.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 137.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 26c | 129.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 113.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 50c | 99.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 38c | 98.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 54c | 92.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 91.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 79.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 79.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 52c | 71.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 52c | 68.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 72c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…19f6backed Yes | 48c | 62.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 57.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 35c | 56.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 23c | 55.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 30c | 51.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 48c | 48.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Yes | 51c | 47.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 42c | 35.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 71c | 33.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 49c | 31.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…eecdbacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…309ebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…f16abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.