Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc37f4134fccec5a821b3f08f14f205858cc20f3abdaba1623dbaece58ac96f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,506 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 65c | 86,130$55,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,984.21 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 25,627$9,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,650.64 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 14,600$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,489.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 35c | 9,189$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,973.09 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Yes | 35c | 8,572$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,572.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 35c | 6,947$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,515.55 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 4,380$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.68 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 3,897$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.74 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 3,500$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.64 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Yes | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 2,348$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.28 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 31c | 2,030$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.26 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 65c | 1,703$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.76 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 1,387$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.43 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 35c | 1,224$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.76 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 975$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.62 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 965.33$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.74 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 55c | 881$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.25 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 828$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.8 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 59c | 825.42$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.67 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 64c | 792.25$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.04 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 66c | 770$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.05 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a246backed Yes | 78c | 694.87$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 67c | 686.72$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 35c | 664$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 15c | 631.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 33c | 598.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 588.58$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.11 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 41c | 566.3$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 36c | 556$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.84 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 31c | 530$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 36c | 528.06$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 70c | 527.1$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 67c | 444$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…d8f0backed Yes | 33c | 438.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…9a07backed No | 67c | 391.85$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…0b59backed Yes | 74c | 390.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9e…ba25backed Yes | 34c | 387.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 62c | 386.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.64 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 66c | 361.68$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…314dbacked Yes | 34c | 352.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…78f4backed Yes | 34c | 335.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…fc25backed Yes | 34c | 325.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 312.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 34c | 310$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 65c | 307.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 34c | 294.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 293.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde73…93efbacked Yes | 34c | 287.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 68c | 282.03$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…f545backed Yes | 33c | 275.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 34c | 249.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 7c | 222$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 28c | 214.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 37c | 211.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 33c | 210$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 31c | 194.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 35c | 182.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…928ebacked Yes | 76c | 179.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 41c | 164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b78…0eb8backed No | 68c | 159.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 17c | 156.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…314bbacked No | 68c | 151.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 38c | 151.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 34c | 147.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 75c | 132.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…a66cbacked No | 67c | 129.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 38c | 129$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…6953backed No | 68c | 128.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc1…f56cbacked No | 67c | 126.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…c4f3backed No | 67c | 125.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 40c | 124.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 15c | 122.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…e6f4backed No | 67c | 122.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…162dbacked No | 67c | 121.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…11afbacked No | 67c | 120.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…ad0abacked Yes | 35c | 119.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed No | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 35c | 108.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.