Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5aa0264eb3c24956400c44d24232d1b5052aa0a78ec5395fd6faffcd6e5bf05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,187 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 7,501$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.21 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 28c | 5,479$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 28c | 5,425$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 4,332$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.63 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,700$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,447$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 71c | 2,234$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.33 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 72c | 2,114$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,927$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.7 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 27c | 1,719$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 1,636$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.75 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 74c | 1,071$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 1,026$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 72c | 972.55$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.55 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 965.36$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 72c | 923.61$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.61 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 27c | 859.26$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…580bbacked No | 74c | 677.87$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…f9dcbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 23c | 582.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 499.09$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…0a12backed Yes | 27c | 465.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 453.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 16c | 449.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 72c | 409$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 393.59$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 64c | 382.43$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 313.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…edcdbacked Yes | 28c | 268.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 24c | 240.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 76c | 228$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 202.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed No | 73c | 197.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…41fcbacked No | 74c | 196.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 28c | 182.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 24c | 167.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 163.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f68…32dabacked No | 74c | 140.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…1411backed No | 74c | 128.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 28c | 128.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…a17dbacked Yes | 33c | 125.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 36c | 125.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 78c | 122.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 113.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 109.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…b12cbacked Yes | 27c | 107.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cb…8c51backed No | 73c | 106.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 28c | 94.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 29c | 89.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…119dbacked Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…0bcbbacked No | 73c | 86.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 27c | 85.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…3713backed Yes | 27c | 78.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…acf5backed No | 73c | 76.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 72c | 76.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 72c | 76.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…b67abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked Yes | 28c | 71.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked No | 73c | 71.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 21c | 68.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 60.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Yes | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…fe30backed Yes | 27c | 55.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 26c | 51.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 44.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd745…223abacked Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 77c | 37.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?this page
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.