Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04031c02a2c8537b3b2d2948287a592e0d1f5bb18b352f5d1da79d5ac3524cbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,033 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 41c | 10,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 9,869$5,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.3 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 59c | 9,727$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 63c | 8,972$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 8,663$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.98 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Yes | 40c | 6,186$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 5,641$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.57 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 64c | 4,883$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.92 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 74c | 2,832$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.81 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 2,328$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…8709backed Yes | 3c | 1,545$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 1,235$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.48 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.9 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…e69bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,070$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…59ddbacked No | 62c | 1,060$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,056$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…5033backed No | 61c | 1,050$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,050$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…694ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,020$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 61c | 1,017$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.33 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…4686backed No | 62c | 1,010$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…6f79backed No | 62c | 1,010$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…b1dabacked No | 62c | 1,010$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…f4acbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…feadbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…3af0backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…ad5ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 38c | 998.94$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 37c | 744.32$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 705.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.22 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 36c | 694$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 40c | 624.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 32c | 558.69$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 37c | 539.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 43c | 519.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 474.46$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…f012backed Yes | 41c | 366.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 365.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.88 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 357.77$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 18c | 319.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes | 37c | 314.92$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 18c | 308.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 40c | 303$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…edc7backed No | 61c | 284.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 270.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…88f6backed No | 60c | 259.23$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b8…27acbacked Yes | 41c | 258.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked No | 60c | 255.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 40c | 250.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…e128backed Yes | 40c | 248.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…00eebacked No | 60c | 231.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…7982backed No | 60c | 217.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…e382backed Yes | 41c | 213.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…1d8fbacked Yes | 40c | 212.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…a912backed Yes | 41c | 211.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 62c | 203.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…1543backed No | 61c | 199.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 38c | 199.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 71c | 198.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…d01abacked Yes | 41c | 194.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…6220backed Yes | 41c | 192.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c1…5249backed No | 61c | 192.15$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…7126backed Yes | 40c | 186.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…7126backed No | 60c | 186.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…a17dbacked Yes | 33c | 184.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 37c | 182.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 66c | 181.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 60c | 177.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…37d8backed No | 61c | 176.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…788fbacked No | 60c | 176.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…a787backed Yes | 40c | 171.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…d798backed Yes | 40c | 171.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…95e3backed Yes | 40c | 168.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Yes | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 62c | 167.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…6b8ebacked Yes | 40c | 165.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…de81backed Yes | 41c | 165.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed No | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.