Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86cdd40285e54fe202223ec5f8666ac55d7cc1e4572ddfcd6513dde548a592dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $486,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 75c | 87,150$65,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,314.97 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 53,070$13,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,417.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 35,305$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,339.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 23,475$17,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,484.41 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 18,881$14,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,139.75 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 25c | 11,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 45c | 10,885$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984.59 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 36c | 9,980$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 8,782$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.53 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Yes | 25c | 7,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,625 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd26f…fa03backed Yes | 25c | 6,412$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 38c | 5,999$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 5,999$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…38cfbacked No | 65c | 4,949$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 25c | 4,643$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.56 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 75c | 4,006$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 5c | 3,884$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 3,292$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…2d79backed Yes | 26c | 3,077$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 2,679$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.81 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 76c | 2,321$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.17 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 25c | 2,273$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 76c | 2,239$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.48 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 37c | 2,214$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.1 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes | 25c | 2,160$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed No | 67c | 2,160$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 2c | 2,027$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 25c | 1,423$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…9a07backed Yes | 32c | 1,354$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +141%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 36c | 1,351$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.49 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…734ebacked No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 42c | 1,303$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.49 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 25c | 1,226$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.5 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848e…d966backed Yes | 49c | 1,184$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,178$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.57 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 25c | 1,155$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.58 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 44c | 1,141$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.61 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 35c | 1,120$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.14 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Yes | 25c | 1,032$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 998$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.2 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 2c | 982.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 25c | 964.28$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.21 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed No | 62c | 920.96$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.61 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed Yes | 50c | 900$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 72c | 890.38$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.79 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…9754backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes | 27c | 763.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.56 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 34c | 757$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.96 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…ee29backed Yes | 27c | 738$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…b900backed No | 76c | 722.43$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…eb2cbacked No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 75c | 630$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 76c | 626.07$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed No | 76c | 563$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.88 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd638…b011backed Yes | 79c | 507.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 44c | 500.87$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.19 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 74c | 500.01$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.28 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 70c | 499.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 75c | 479.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.75 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes | 25c | 454$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed No | 76c | 433.76$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Yes | 51c | 412.84$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed No | 63c | 404.48$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…e05cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e7…88adbacked Yes | 25c | 400$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…793bbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac6…18e5backed Yes | 25c | 396$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 19c | 383.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.43 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 23c | 332.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.39 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 331.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 59c | 322.77$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 75c | 302.01$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 25c | 297$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 25c | 282.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 72c | 279.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…0047backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 28c | 261$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 28c | 258.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Yes | 38c | 257.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?No won
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.