Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017f7caf0f73e7b8fe56e1de3c1083945cf830c298e7d587b19fb3f1dab5c34b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,759,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,932,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,759,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,765 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 58c | 550,000$318,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318,450.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 42c | 240,362$100,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,530.24 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 59c | 130,047$76,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,477.71 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 42c | 108,185$45,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,942.39 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 96,451$40,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,387.44 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 87,388$37,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,466.26 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 42c | 85,246$35,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,636.15 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 83,826$34,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,378.57 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 41c | 79,860$32,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,117.37 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 47c | 71,193$33,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,527.03 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 59c | 63,122$37,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,297.22 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 59c | 52,599$30,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,860.05 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 42c | 51,436$21,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,786.95 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 42c | 51,430$21,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,829.31 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 52c | 51,160$26,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,452.79 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked No | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 53c | 46,300$24,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,776.01 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 55c | 46,076$25,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,283.47 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 46c | 44,718$20,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,983.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…d5dbbacked No | 41c | 43,000$17,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,419.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 36,717$17,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,390.93 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 42c | 34,899$14,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,294.39 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 58c | 34,287$19,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,886.44 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 42c | 34,125$14,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,792.38 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 42c | 30,282$12,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,628.65 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 29,512$7,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,607.61 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 52c | 25,530$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,330.12 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 24,743$11,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,369.46 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 41c | 24,000$9,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,179.93 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 41c | 24,000$9,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,159.89 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 49c | 22,521$11,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,044.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 42c | 22,048$9,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,693.87 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 75c | 19,579$14,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.49 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 41c | 19,014$7,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,170.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Yes | 59c | 18,750$11,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,062.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 43c | 18,569$7,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,677.19 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 59c | 18,000$10,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,619.99 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 53c | 17,353$9,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,234.58 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 48c | 14,429$6,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,925.74 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,259.87 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 43c | 13,953$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,953.49 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 13,166$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.74 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 13,133$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,860.34 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 57c | 12,495$7,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,135.9 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 12,282$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342.11 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 59c | 11,163$6,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,586.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 55c | 10,954$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 65c | 10,913$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,054 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed No | 42c | 10,375$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 59c | 10,301$6,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,077.48 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 60c | 10,200$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 42c | 10,107$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.86 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 51c | 10,055$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.43 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 46c | 9,717$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.65 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 55c | 9,667$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.67 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 59c | 9,322$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 41c | 8,900$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 42c | 8,500$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.93 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 59c | 8,127$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 59c | 7,719$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569.16 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 59c | 7,642$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,509 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 42c | 7,500$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.85 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 43c | 7,039$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.14 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…c2ddbacked Yes | 58c | 6,590$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Yes | 58c | 6,500$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…4f97backed Yes | 58c | 6,487$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc776…1e92backed No | 42c | 6,404$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 48c | 6,254$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 41c | 6,000$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,569.98 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 42c | 6,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.98 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 5,952$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.54 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 42c | 5,712$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.96 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 55c | 5,706$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.59 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 5,530$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.25 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 80c | 5,489$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 41c | 5,400$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 59c | 5,254$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 58c | 5,200$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 58c | 5,149$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Yes | 59c | 5,080$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 59c | 5,064$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.94 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…378ebacked Yes | 58c | 4,964$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 42c | 4,955$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.76 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 41c | 4,500$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 42c | 4,459$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.91 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 42c | 4,378$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.01 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…9a18backed No | 42c | 4,238$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 53c | 4,220$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.6 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 41c | 4,159$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?this page
- Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.