South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c246ebd797a322b7326dee9ad0c01251f60f87a8e31aa5ab2068103fd3a0b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,062 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 13,326$9,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.4 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 28c | 10,523$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.89 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 8,876$6,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 4,164$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.22 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 3,471$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.22 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 2,482$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.96 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,353$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.23 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 29c | 2,312$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.53 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 1,777$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,243$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.59 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 1,023$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 787.76$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 69c | 737$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.47 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 510.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 33c | 412.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 342.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 71c | 281.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 69c | 208.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 8c | 200.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 132.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 122$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 73c | 113.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 111.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 33c | 103.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 70c | 97.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 90.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 28c | 81.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yes | 28c | 73.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 30c | 70.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Yes | 32c | 64.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…fc01backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb036…9a07backed No | 70c | 61.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 70c | 57.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 31c | 49.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 72c | 46.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed No | 69c | 46.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 26c | 45.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…179abacked Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 28c | 42.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 70c | 32.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked No | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 73c | 25.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 19.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.