South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce683488409dc19545b3f7bbf7fbdfd8425f6cef8e5655d6029e604546395d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,005 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 22,243$13,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,009.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 12,005$5,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,287.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 4,345$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,208.34 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 3,950$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 3,653$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.01 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,508$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 1,721$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 932.31$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.34 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 4c | 798.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 26c | 768$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.32 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 26c | 749$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.26 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 636$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 510.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.55 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 51c | 464.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.22 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 71c | 424.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 31c | 391.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 367$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.77 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 70c | 357$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 63c | 218.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 201.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 67c | 196.5$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 176.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 21c | 160.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 130.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Yes | 31c | 128.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 114.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 28c | 113.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 48c | 112.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Yes | 26c | 101.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 26c | 89.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 83.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 83.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 47c | 82.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…5b5ebacked No | 75c | 73.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 33c | 64.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 58.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Yes | 75c | 58.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 41.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 59c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 41.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…56f9backed Yes | 36c | 34.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +222%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Yes | 64c | 33.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Yes | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 56c | 31.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Yes | 58c | 28.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…bc3cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 54c | 19.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.