Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f4d15ca1f25a095760f56ba63d7f99bad977a33ae93003d86d58fda3ba3da4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,664,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,576,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,664,182 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No	78c	2,043,069$1,588,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454,850.14	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes	22c	1,859,123$416,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416,603.43	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No	77c	188,850$145,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,170.64	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5451…616cbacked No	77c	165,752$127,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,123.06	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	14c	132,560$18,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,805.65	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b75…a9cfbacked Yes	23c	112,991$25,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,988	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes	23c	103,250$23,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,747.5	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	76c	100,159$76,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,038.14	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	23c	100,000$23,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,000	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	8c	81,200$6,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,698.83	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes	25c	80,774$20,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,461.2	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Yes	23c	80,000$18,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,400	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	4c	61,300$2,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,171.75	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	3c	60,737$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	0c	55,220$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.1	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes	0c	52,979$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.96	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No	78c	48,176$37,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,598.72	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	17c	47,341$8,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,200.14	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes	23c	41,753$9,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,603.09	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	23c	36,601$8,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,470.98	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	18c	31,905$5,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,742.86	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes	24c	31,213$7,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,405.56	72	25%18 W · 54 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes	1c	30,135$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.52	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b8…9915backed Yes	23c	30,022$6,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,904.97	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-84.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes	2c	25,277$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.01	151	31.8%48 W · 103 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	23c	25,000$5,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,749.98	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Yes	23c	24,792$5,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,702.18	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	16c	23,487$3,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,828.77	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes	24c	22,538$5,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,353.35	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes	23c	21,739$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…31e6backed Yes	1c	21,617$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	76c	20,115$15,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,828.73	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes	1c	18,051$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.81	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No	77c	16,544$12,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,805.14	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	22c	15,507$3,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,402.09	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes	13c	15,218$1,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.06	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…e03cbacked No	77c	15,000$11,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,400	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f21…8daebacked Yes	11c	15,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…96cebacked Yes	1c	15,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yes	23c	14,857$3,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,417.08	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	77c	13,853$10,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,186.27	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e9…0741backed Yes	24c	13,333$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.92	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb866…977fbacked Yes	3c	13,300$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.8	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efe…2e32backed No	77c	13,064$10,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,939.66	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed Yes	23c	13,043$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f2…cc8bbacked Yes	1c	12,837$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes	2c	12,805$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.55	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes	1c	12,493$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.93	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+136.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	1c	12,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	147	15.6%23 W · 124 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes	1c	11,130$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89a7…bb87backed Yes	0c	11,125$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes	2c	11,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x851a…6b12backed Yes	23c	10,848$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,495	96	31.3%30 W · 66 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	76c	10,744$8,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,562.67	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Yes	24c	10,714$2,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,571.36	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	76c	10,361$7,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.59	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No	78c	10,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…928abacked Yes	24c	9,212$2,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,210.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	75c	9,111$6,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,246.24	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x700a…a239backed No	77c	9,107$7,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,094.7	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes	23c	9,000$2,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,070	83	25.3%21 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes	2c	9,000$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes	1c	8,884$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.06	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ced…5452backed Yes	24c	8,333$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes	4c	8,320$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.07	736	26.5%195 W · 541 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d4…4619backed Yes	23c	8,319$1,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913.29	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No	77c	8,000$6,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	25c	8,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.98	142	26.8%38 W · 104 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…a486backed No	77c	7,792$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,792.21	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No	77c	7,759$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.91	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…6470backed Yes	2c	7,527$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	1c	7,095$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c1…4837backed Yes	24c	6,827$1,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,638.38	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No	77c	6,816$5,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,567.57	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Yes	24c	6,754$1,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,594.41	135	39.3%53 W · 82 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	0c	6,610$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes	23c	6,522$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc0…9babbacked Yes	2c	6,434$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ed…df8dbacked Yes	7c	6,183$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa160…442bbacked No	77c	6,150$4,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414.5	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	1c	6,046$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.81	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b71…c33ebacked Yes	6c	6,033$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	75c	6,004$4,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.95	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes	0c	6,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	174	16.1%28 W · 146 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes	2c	5,706$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.37	182	27.5%50 W · 132 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3f…1136backed Yes	23c	5,652$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7526…7aa4backed Yes	1c	5,630$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes	2c	5,556$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	311	49.5%154 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe26a…955fbacked Yes	3c	5,464$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No	77c	5,270$4,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.1	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	24c	5,195$1,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.8	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	388	19.1%74 W · 314 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	23c	5,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.98	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes	1c	4,827$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d0…3df9backed Yes	2c	4,700$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.85	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes	0c	4,692$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	455	28.4%129 W · 326 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes	24c	4,492$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes	2c	4,410$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.4	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a31…dc23backed Yes	24c	4,375$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes	23c	4,348$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?this page
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?No won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event